(5,388 words)
Sudan’s political transition came to an abrupt stop in late 2021 with the breakdown of the precarious civilian–military alliance formed in 2019. In the first half of the year, the implementation of the Juba Peace Agreement, with the integration of rebel leaders into the transitional government, contributed to a shift in the power balance at the head of the state away from the civilian forces. This became apparent between March and October, as rebel leaders expressed vocal criticisms of the major civilian coalition, the Forces of Freedom and Change, and increasingly aligned with the security apparatus. Dissension within civilian forces and between civilian and military factions turned into open conflict and came to a head when the military launched a coup on 25 October. This opened a period of political uncertainty and deep institutional crisis that was left unresolved by the end of the year. The coup also interrupted the process of diplomatic normalisation launched by the authorities in 2019, despite a high point in May with the organisation of the Paris Conference by the French presidency. Funding collected on this occasion and over the year had enabled Sudan to pay its arrears to the imf and to become eligible for foreign debt relief under the hipc initiative. However, the coup drew almost unanimous condemnation by the international community and led to the suspension of most bilateral and international financial assistance. Sudan’s economy continued to deteriorate in 2021, despite liberalisation policies aimed at alleviating the crisis. Inflation, food, and fuel prices continued to rise, affecting the living conditions of millions of Sudanese. Food insecurity among idps and refugees was a growing concern, and though humanitarian aid was not impacted by international reactions to the coup, the suspension of most long-term financial support from Western donors put the socioeconomic situation further at risk as the year ended.
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(5,388 words)