(4,459 words)
A major military effort by combined rebel forces, fought back to an extent by government troops but mostly by their international allies and the UN peacekeeping mission, failed to topple the government in January. Most rebel movements allied within the Coalition des patriotes pour le changement (cpc) thereafter witnessed defections and were on the defensive against the government army, which received military support from a (semi-)private Russian mercenary group and – for half a year – the Rwandan army. The announcement of the results of presidential and legislative elections held at the end of 2020 (and by-elections in May and July) confirmed the dominance of President Touadéra and his camp, but also created new frictions within the political elite. The UN authorities complained about the misbehaviour of all armed actors. The government faced the freezing of budgetary aid and was unable to start major reconstruction projects; it even had trouble funding its state apparatus. While the number of refugees grew, the number of idps went down after an initial surge in the first months of the year.
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(4,459 words)