(6,390 words)
On the election front, this was a fairly quiet year, as many governments were only early in or mid-way through their terms. Notable exceptions were Liberia, where elections were in some ways historically significant, Burkina Faso and Guinea-Bissau. Three coup attempts hit the sub-region, two of which succeeded. In the case of Togo, however, the erection of an externally enforced electoral façade secured the blessings of the sub-regional community. Violence was worse in Togo than in Côte d'Ivoire, which saw a downturn in violence amid a continuing political impasse. Concern about a potential spill-over into countries of the south-western forest fringe (Guinea, Liberia) persisted. Although this region was fairly quiet compared to previous years, high levels of instability continued in Guinea and Guinea-Bissau. There was a downturn in violence in Nigeria. An ICG report played down the Islamist threat in Sahelian countries. The sub-region's human rights record remained mixed. The economy was largely in an upturn phase, even if social circumstances remained precarious, given the widespread poverty. There was a disastrous food crisis in Niger.
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(6,390 words)